The article is interesting and I think matches mainstream thought on most topics, but I think is wrong about Model Y. My guess is no a Model Y launch, at least anything similar to the Model 3 reveal, is unlikely in 2017. They might show a concept car, but Tesla has eschewed this approach in the past. I fear that some folks who are desperate tor this car will regard me as an iconoclast, but I think that the Y is pretty far off in the future. Adding a new model on existing production lines is bound to disrupt production and so makes sense only is you have excess capacity. As long as Tesla has a backlog of reservations or orders for Model 3, I doubt if they will begin production of Y. The Reservation Counter website is currently estimating that current reservations will take until late first quarter 2019, but new reservations and orders will continue to come in. I would guess that the final reveal, early customer reactions, and test drives will generate more orders than the first reveal. So on the low end the assembly lines will be packed through 2019. If sales go well for the Model 3 it is very possible that Tesla will not catch up with orders until more factories come online. So I expect that Model Y production could start somewhere in 2020 or after. The reveal will probably be about 6 months before production. Just my guess, anybody have a better one?