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Discussion in 'Tesla Discussions' started by Rocky, Nov 13, 2017.
Tesla Model 3 Depositors Staying Put as Wait in Line Lengthens - Bloomberg
It is a pretty lame article. Their sample size is 20 depositors. They plot quarterly total of deposits. They don't mention that the total includes X and S deposits as part of the purchase process, which at least adds noise to the analysis. Now if they touched a 1000 or more depositors...
I think a lot of people will end up canceling but they'll just be replaced by people buying in today. Think most thought they'd get their car in 2017 and based lease and purchase decisions around that.
according to https://model3tracker.info/dashboard.php there were 29 cancellations total from 10,744 reservations.
<.3%... Extrapolating this to >500k total reservations would mean 1,500 cars... dark clouds over Shortville...
I’m sure some will cancel when they see the car if it doesn’t meet up with their current expectations.
I’m also sure there will be a massive surge when people see this car in person so it will work itself out.
And I expect the surge to waaay more than compensate for the cancellations. Model 3 won’t be demand-constrained for a while (until the next decade? )
wasn't the cancellations officially announced recently?