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chopr147

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#1
Ok so I know Elon mentioned the reservations will be going from the west coast first and heading east from there. A friend of mine in Las Vegas just reserved two days ago and it got me thinking. I'm in NY and reserved 4/2. Will he get an M3 before me even though I am far ahead of him on the reservation list? He's a good friend but I want mine first! :)
 

MelindaV

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#2
that is a question only Tesla can answer. We all can guess and speculate on exactly how they will rollout the orders, but it would be just that. My guess/speculation, is the first week's orders will be filled first, West to East then prioritized by staff, current owners, options, etc. Then they will go back and fill the orders that came in after the buzz died down.
 

Pinewold

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#3
Imagine that all of these will be done by packages of options ordered. First will be top 20% package by price most likely $48k and above, second will be next 30% will be $44k package, third will be next 30% $40k package and finally base model and few options folks. Could see everyone invited to configure to figure out which options/packages they want.

Factory employees first, make sure they get the line working well fast.

SpaceX employees second, considered a super friendly crowd.

Both of these groups are mostly "local" so would be west coast.

Models S Owners - first deliveries in each market starting with West coast

West coast may end up with first 20k - 30k including all employees and west coast S owners and new to Model 3 just to be safe.

Non Model S (everyone else) , a month's worth at a time, based on whatever the goal is for that month.
 

Topher

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#4
Once the initial rollout to employees, then locals, is done (perhaps 20,000 cars?) they will expanding the area out, and soon be delivering mostly by place in line. After the first 50,000 cars or so at most, number in line will be just about the only remaining factor. There is no point in continuing to favor west coast over east coast, You will getting your car FAR before your friend. All IMHO of course.

Thank you kindly.
 

chopr147

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#5
Thank you for the responses. I know I sound selfish :( But the order of delivery will be a point of contention to reservation holders as they are delivered. I can just imagine the vitriol being thrown back/forth on TMC when deliveries start.
 

TrevP

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#6
I can just imagine the vitriol being thrown back/forth on TMC when deliveries start
The sense of entitlement is strong with many ;)

Anecdotally the amount of reservations by current Tesla owners for the Model 3 is smaller than you would think. I think Tesla said is was in the 4% range or something. I'm just glad I got my reservation in when I did (first 18K or so after Tesla and SpaceX reservations) but in the end the car will arrive when it arrives. My lease ends in April 2018 so I'm hoping it lines up as close as possible but even if it's summer no big deal.
 

Topher

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#7
Thank you for the responses. I know I sound selfish :( But the order of delivery will be a point of contention to reservation holders as they are delivered. I can just imagine the vitriol being thrown back/forth on TMC when deliveries start.
True, but I suspect that most people agree 'first come, first served' is the most fair. Tesla does have some business reasons for deviating from a strict following of that; however, they likely recognize that they shouldn't do too much for exactly the reasons you state. This is why they are hiding your actual order number, they can fiddle *slightly* with the order, and have no one notice. If they fiddle in noticeable ways, the screams will be loud. I can't see them wanting to deal with that.

Thank you kindly.
 

chopr147

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#8
"This is why they are hiding your actual order number, they can fiddle *slightly* with the order, and have no one notice. "


True. And a good idea for Tesla even if I would like to know where I stand and when etc...... I can live w/o that info. I am thinking about a 24 mo lease for the S now since I do not see my 3 coming before the summer 2018. I am somewhere in the 250k range
 

StephenP

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#9
I realize this is a pretty old thread, but I'm new to this website and wanted to ask a question about reservations. We stood in line at a Tesla store in Atlanta and were one of the first to reserve our Model 3 when it opened. I'm wondering if they will give any preference for those who did what? So, I realize it's anybody's guess at this point, but with so many orders more than they expected, they should be able to accomplish the goal of working out the bugs by filling orders of those who stood in line, starting with West and moving East and then after the first wave (115K or so?) is done, go back to West to East with those who waited until after the reveal (or simply first come first serve). Yes, I'm being a bit selfish to want mine sooner, but there's potentially a financial aspect as well with regards to the federal tax credit.

Thoughts?
 

Pinewold

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#10
Unfortunately it is all speculation at this point. Your best bet is to wait your turn to reserve and order the best model you can afford.
 
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#11
I'm new to this forum as well. My question concerns the relevance of geography in determining delivery date. The presumption that West Coasters will receive their M3 before other zipcodes, all things being equal (date of registration, M3 package), seems to fly in the face of Tesla's own delivery estimator. How relevant is one's location in determining date of delivery? I don't think it will matter at all re: M3, perhaps because of its mass production and prospect of pissed-off customers.
 

Kizzy

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#12
I think there's a complicated algorithm that does factor in location a bit for delivery. My dates from a July '16 California reservation are fairly close to early reservations on the East Coast.
 

Michael Russo

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#13
My hunch is still that the priority to West Coasters really only matters for the reservations of the first couple of months after the reveal... and does not hold 'ad vitam aeternam' (forever & ever for those who don't read Latin! ;))

@Kizzy 's input seems to confirm that. Already in July 2016, less relevance on location.

Good news: we all get our cars ultimately... and those who cancel only help the remainers... and most will regret it afterwards... :)